ForetellerForeteller
21
21du…QDikrank #342
cryptosportsother
score
49
Follow
+11%
ROI · 7d
$14
Profit · 7d
22
Markets
Performance · 7d22 settled
Open positions

No open positions.

Forecasting skill · all-time16 scored calls
Forecast score
40
Avg edge / share
+15.4¢
Edge, worst case
-2.1¢
Closing line value
-8.2¢
other 8 · 9 callscrypto 6 · 6 callssize-weighted edge +11.1¢sizing discipline -0.13

Edge is what a call paid versus the price paid for it; the worst-case figure is the lower 90% confidence bound, so it separates skill from luck. Closing line value compares entries to the market's final price. Size-weighted edge shows whether the edge survives their position sizes; sizing discipline is the correlation between stake and edge. Dust, hedged pairs, and settlement-adjacent entries are excluded. This dataset accumulates for life, not 7 days.

Breakdown
PnL by category
sports
+$25
other
+$0.33
crypto
-$11
Current streak
6 wins
in a row
Best call
BTC Up
+172% · +$1
Recent activity
redeemedENG vs ARG: ARG wins (YES)@1.00+$58144h
boughtENG vs ARG: ARG wins (YES)@0.97$20145h
redeemed@1.00+$2146h
bought@0.92$1146h
bought@0.80$1146h
boughtENG vs ARG: ARG wins (YES)@0.50$19147h
redeemedBTC Up@1.00+$11164h
boughtBTC Up@0.50$5164h
redeemedBTC Up@1.00+$2164h
boughtBTC Up@0.93$2164h

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