ForetellerForeteller

The Academy

Three levels from zero to a fundable record. Lessons unlock in order, quizzes check you actually got it, and the capstone is graded by the chain, not by us. Every number you will read was measured on real World markets. Stuck on a term? The glossary has it.

YOUR PROGRESS
0 / 13 lessons
Start learning
1

Level 1 · Basics

From zero to your first call, no jargon assumed.

What a prediction market is
Shares that pay $1 if you are right. Prices that are probabilities.
3 MIN · QUIZ
How World works on Solana
CASH, YES/NO shares, and settlement you can verify on-chain.
4 MIN · QUIZ
Reading prices like probabilities
The one mental move that separates traders from gamblers.
4 MIN · QUIZ
Your first calls in the Playground
Ten practice trades, zero risk, and a skill record that starts today.
5 MIN · QUIZ
2

Level 2 · Fundamentals

The math and microstructure that decide who wins over 100 calls.

The calibration curve: what World prices actually mean
Closing prices are nearly perfect. Mid-life prices are not. That gap is the whole game.
4 MIN · QUIZ
Closing line value: the skill metric that cannot be faked for long
PnL says what happened. CLV says whether you were right to do it.
4 MIN · QUIZ
Know the dealer: how Janus prices your trade
Zero vig, sticky quotes, keeper repricing. The microstructure in plain language.
5 MIN · QUIZ
Bankroll management for binary markets
A real 60% edge still loses four times in ten. Survive long enough to be right.
4 MIN · QUIZ
3

Level 3 · Practical

Measured edges, honest sizing, and the road to funded capital.

Fading the 60-72c band
The most overpriced prices on the venue, measured, not vibes.
3 MIN · QUIZ
Tail value: the 3-8c longshots
World tails have paid 2-3x their implied probability. Small stakes, huge asymmetry.
3 MIN · QUIZ
Sizing, capacity, and why edge dies above $5k
The venue pays skill in limited size. Respect the ceiling or feed the dealer.
4 MIN · QUIZ
Luck vs skill: what the fscore actually measures
One trader made $50k on one bet. Another made $30k over 1,000 trades. Fund the second.
4 MIN · QUIZ
Capstone: the Proving Ground
Turn what you learned into a record that qualifies for funding.
4 MIN · QUIZ