ForetellerForeteller
22
22Cr…fwpCrank #193
cryptoothersports
score
51
Follow
-7%
ROI · 7d
-$4
Profit · 7d
9
Markets
Performance · 7d9 settled
Open positions

No open positions.

Forecasting skill · all-time2 scored calls
Forecast score
0
Avg edge / share
-3.3¢
Edge, worst case
-59.6¢
Closing line value
-3.3¢
size-weighted edge -9.5¢

Edge is what a call paid versus the price paid for it; the worst-case figure is the lower 90% confidence bound, so it separates skill from luck. Closing line value compares entries to the market's final price. Size-weighted edge shows whether the edge survives their position sizes; sizing discipline is the correlation between stake and edge. Dust, hedged pairs, and settlement-adjacent entries are excluded. This dataset accumulates for life, not 7 days.

Breakdown
PnL by category
crypto
-$2
sports
-$2
Current streak
1 loss
in a row
Best call
BTC Up
+100% · +$3
Recent activity
redeemedBTC Up@0.00expired158h
boughtBTC Up@0.49$13158h
redeemedBTC Up@1.00+$13158h
boughtBTC Up@0.82$11158h
redeemedBTC Up@1.00+$11158h
boughtBTC Up@0.90$10158h
redeemedBTC Up@1.00+$10158h
boughtBTC Up@0.81$8158h
redeemedBTC Up@1.00+$8158h
boughtBTC Up@0.93$7158h

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