ForetellerForeteller
22
22Zj…Jyqkrank #432
crypto
score
48
Follow
-85%
ROI · 7d
-$662
Profit · 7d
27
Markets
Performance · 7d27 settled
Open positions

No open positions.

Forecasting skill · all-time24 scored calls
Forecast score
0
Avg edge / share
-16.3¢
Edge, worst case
-30.6¢
Closing line value
-3.3¢
crypto 0 · 20 callssize-weighted edge -33.6¢sizing discipline -0.36

Edge is what a call paid versus the price paid for it; the worst-case figure is the lower 90% confidence bound, so it separates skill from luck. Closing line value compares entries to the market's final price. Size-weighted edge shows whether the edge survives their position sizes; sizing discipline is the correlation between stake and edge. Dust, hedged pairs, and settlement-adjacent entries are excluded. This dataset accumulates for life, not 7 days.

Breakdown
PnL by category
crypto
-$662
Current streak
1 loss
in a row
Best call
BTC Up
+1576% · +$70
Recent activity
redeemedBTC Up@0.00expired155h
boughtBTC Up@0.14$5155h
soldBTC Up@0.50+$75168h
boughtBTC Up@0.03$4168h
redeemedBTC Up@0.00expired172h
boughtBTC Up@0.50$11172h
boughtBTC Up@0.99$16172h
redeemedBTC Up@0.00expired172h
boughtBTC Up@0.23$5172h
redeemedBTC Up@0.00expired173h

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