ForetellerForeteller
27
27ta…TYZdrank #134
sportscrypto
score
52
Follow
+11%
ROI · 7d
$833
Profit · 7d
10
Markets
Performance · 7d10 settled
Open positions
YESPOR vs ESP: ESP wins (YES)
$924 @ 0.93
YESARG wins WC26
$1.2k @ 0.21
Forecasting skill · all-time8 scored calls
Forecast score
35
Avg edge / share
+6.9¢
Edge, worst case
-3.2¢
Closing line value
-14.3¢
sports 91 · 5 callssize-weighted edge +9.0¢

Edge is what a call paid versus the price paid for it; the worst-case figure is the lower 90% confidence bound, so it separates skill from luck. Closing line value compares entries to the market's final price. Size-weighted edge shows whether the edge survives their position sizes; sizing discipline is the correlation between stake and edge. Dust, hedged pairs, and settlement-adjacent entries are excluded. This dataset accumulates for life, not 7 days.

Breakdown
PnL by category
sports
+$839
crypto
-$6
Current streak
2 wins
in a row
Best call
ENG vs ARG: ARG wins (YES)
+212% · +$423
Recent activity
redeemedENG vs ARG: ARG wins (YES)@1.00+$624143h
boughtENG vs ARG: ARG wins (YES)@0.24$100145h
boughtENG vs ARG: ARG wins (YES)@0.49$100146h
redeemedBTC Up@1.00+$97158h
boughtBTC Up@0.90$87158h
redeemedFRA vs ESP: ESP wins (YES)@1.00+$1.5k168h
soldFRA wins WC26@0.04+$61168h
boughtFRA vs ESP: ESP wins (YES)@0.93$1.4k169h
boughtARG wins WC26@0.20$50206h
redeemedBTC Up@1.00+$1.4k228h

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