ForetellerForeteller
2D
2DED…XkzY
crypto
score
1
Follow
-100%
ROI · 7d
-$267
Profit · 7d
4
Markets
Performance · 7d4 settled
Open positions

No open positions.

Forecasting skill · all-time3 scored calls
Forecast score
0
Avg edge / share
-24.1¢
Edge, worst case
-45.8¢
Closing line value
-23.0¢
size-weighted edge -45.2¢

Edge is what a call paid versus the price paid for it; the worst-case figure is the lower 90% confidence bound, so it separates skill from luck. Closing line value compares entries to the market's final price. Size-weighted edge shows whether the edge survives their position sizes; sizing discipline is the correlation between stake and edge. Dust, hedged pairs, and settlement-adjacent entries are excluded. This dataset accumulates for life, not 7 days.

Breakdown
PnL by category
crypto
-$267
Current streak
4 losss
in a row
Best call
-
Recent activity
redeemedBTC Up@0.00expired262h
boughtBTC Up@0.06$9262h
boughtBTC Up@0.09$9262h
redeemedBTC Up@0.00expired262h
boughtBTC Up@0.50$226262h
redeemedBTC Up@0.00expired264h
boughtBTC Up@0.16$14264h
redeemedBTC Up@0.00expired264h
boughtBTC Up@0.02$9264h

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