ForetellerForeteller
2J
2Jzo…M1QDrank #778
cryptosports
score
44
Follow
-15%
ROI · 7d
-$45
Profit · 7d
31
Markets
Performance · 7d31 settled
Open positions

No open positions.

Forecasting skill · all-time28 scored calls
Forecast score
23
Avg edge / share
+7.1¢
Edge, worst case
-6.1¢
Closing line value
-8.0¢
crypto 23 · 26 callssize-weighted edge +4.8¢sizing discipline -0.08

Edge is what a call paid versus the price paid for it; the worst-case figure is the lower 90% confidence bound, so it separates skill from luck. Closing line value compares entries to the market's final price. Size-weighted edge shows whether the edge survives their position sizes; sizing discipline is the correlation between stake and edge. Dust, hedged pairs, and settlement-adjacent entries are excluded. This dataset accumulates for life, not 7 days.

Breakdown
PnL by category
sports
-$6
crypto
-$40
Current streak
2 losss
in a row
Best call
BTC Up
+100% · +$9
Recent activity
redeemedBTC Up@0.00expired220h
boughtBTC Up@0.04$2220h
redeemedBTC Up@0.00expired220h
boughtBTC Up@0.26$0.91220h
boughtBTC Up@0.38$2220h
boughtBTC Up@0.43$0.78220h
boughtBTC Up@0.54$19221h
redeemedBTC Up@1.00+$22221h
soldBTC Up@0.50+$49221h
boughtBTC Up@0.50$49221h

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