ForetellerForeteller
2K
2KUR…ERinrank #532
crypto
score
47
Follow
-49%
ROI · 7d
-$961
Profit · 7d
9
Markets
Performance · 7d9 settled
Open positions

No open positions.

Forecasting skill · all-time9 scored calls
Forecast score
0
Avg edge / share
-6.5¢
Edge, worst case
-30.7¢
Closing line value
+16.6¢
crypto 0 · 9 callssize-weighted edge -28.3¢

Edge is what a call paid versus the price paid for it; the worst-case figure is the lower 90% confidence bound, so it separates skill from luck. Closing line value compares entries to the market's final price. Size-weighted edge shows whether the edge survives their position sizes; sizing discipline is the correlation between stake and edge. Dust, hedged pairs, and settlement-adjacent entries are excluded. This dataset accumulates for life, not 7 days.

Breakdown
PnL by category
crypto
-$961
Current streak
4 losss
in a row
Best call
BTC Up
+273% · +$374
Recent activity
redeemedBTC Up@0.00expired195h
boughtBTC Up@0.72$790195h
redeemedBTC Up@0.00expired195h
boughtBTC Up@0.33$364195h
redeemedBTC Up@0.00expired195h
boughtBTC Up@0.27$92195h
redeemedBTC Up@0.00expired196h
boughtBTC Up@0.16$100196h
redeemedBTC Up@1.00+$511197h
boughtBTC Up@0.27$137197h

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