ForetellerForeteller
2K
2Krh…ot7Prank #134
sports
score
52
Follow
+28%
ROI · 7d
$49
Profit · 7d
5
Markets
Performance · 7d5 settled
Open positions
YES
$174 @ 0.61
YESPOR vs ESP: ESP wins (YES)
$58 @ 0.68
Forecasting skill · all-time4 scored calls
Forecast score
98
Avg edge / share
+33.0¢
Edge, worst case
+19.5¢
Closing line value
+7.5¢
size-weighted edge +26.4¢

Edge is what a call paid versus the price paid for it; the worst-case figure is the lower 90% confidence bound, so it separates skill from luck. Closing line value compares entries to the market's final price. Size-weighted edge shows whether the edge survives their position sizes; sizing discipline is the correlation between stake and edge. Dust, hedged pairs, and settlement-adjacent entries are excluded. This dataset accumulates for life, not 7 days.

Breakdown
PnL by category
sports
+$49
Current streak
1 loss
in a row
Best call
FRA vs ESP: ESP wins (YES)
+129% · +$19
Recent activity
bought@0.61$105143h
redeemedENG vs ARG: ENG wins (YES)@0.00expired144h
redeemedFRA vs ESP: ESP wins (YES)@1.00+$34168h
boughtFRA vs ESP: ESP wins (YES)@0.44$15218h
boughtENG vs ARG: ENG wins (YES)@0.58$15218h
redeemedNOR vs ENG: ENG wins (YES)@1.00+$30237h
boughtNOR vs ENG: ENG wins (YES)@0.68$20259h
redeemedESP vs BEL: ESP wins (YES)@1.00+$91264h
boughtESP vs BEL: ESP wins (YES)@0.76$70267h
redeemedFRA vs MAR: FRA wins (YES)@1.00+$70287h

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