ForetellerForeteller
2L
2Lmv…zH48rank #42
sports
score
54
Follow
+21%
ROI · 7d
$18
Profit · 7d
7
Markets
Performance · 7d7 settled
Open positions
YES
$15 @ 0.65
Forecasting skill · all-time6 scored calls
Forecast score
6
Avg edge / share
+11.2¢
Edge, worst case
-13.4¢
Closing line value
-5.8¢
sports 6 · 6 callssize-weighted edge +13.2¢

Edge is what a call paid versus the price paid for it; the worst-case figure is the lower 90% confidence bound, so it separates skill from luck. Closing line value compares entries to the market's final price. Size-weighted edge shows whether the edge survives their position sizes; sizing discipline is the correlation between stake and edge. Dust, hedged pairs, and settlement-adjacent entries are excluded. This dataset accumulates for life, not 7 days.

Breakdown
PnL by category
sports
+$18
Current streak
1 win
in a row
Best call
ENG vs ARG: ARG wins (YES)
+105% · +$5
Recent activity
bought@0.65$10143h
redeemedENG vs ARG: ARG wins (YES)@1.00+$10143h
redeemedFRA vs ESP: FRA wins (YES)@0.00expired167h
redeemedFRA vs ESP: ESP wins (YES)@1.00+$7168h
boughtFRA vs ESP: ESP wins (YES)@0.69$5169h
boughtENG vs ARG: ARG wins (YES)@0.49$5219h
boughtFRA vs ESP: FRA wins (YES)@0.63$5219h
boughtFRA vs ESP: FRA wins (YES)@0.63$5222h
redeemedARG vs SUI: ARG wins (YES)@1.00+$19233h
redeemedNOR vs ENG: ENG wins (YES)@1.00+$15237h

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