ForetellerForeteller
2W
2WHL…QAWArank #261
sports
score
50
Follow
-7%
ROI · 7d
-$575
Profit · 7d
6
Markets
Performance · 7d6 settled
Open positions

No open positions.

Forecasting skill · all-time3 scored calls
Forecast score
0
Avg edge / share
-15.6¢
Edge, worst case
-56.0¢
Closing line value
-15.3¢
size-weighted edge -9.9¢

Edge is what a call paid versus the price paid for it; the worst-case figure is the lower 90% confidence bound, so it separates skill from luck. Closing line value compares entries to the market's final price. Size-weighted edge shows whether the edge survives their position sizes; sizing discipline is the correlation between stake and edge. Dust, hedged pairs, and settlement-adjacent entries are excluded. This dataset accumulates for life, not 7 days.

Breakdown
PnL by category
sports
-$575
Current streak
1 win
in a row
Best call
ENG vs ARG: ARG wins (YES)
+113% · +$171
Recent activity
redeemedENG vs ARG: ARG wins (YES)@1.00+$322144h
boughtENG vs ARG: ARG wins (YES)@0.47$141147h
boughtENG vs ARG: ARG wins (YES)@0.47$10152h
redeemedFRA vs ESP: FRA wins (YES)@0.00expired169h
boughtFRA vs ESP: FRA wins (YES)@0.60$1.8k199h
redeemedARG vs SUI: ARG wins (YES)@0.99+$3.6k234h
boughtARG vs SUI: ARG wins (YES)@0.76$49237h
boughtARG vs SUI: ARG wins (YES)@0.75$49238h
boughtARG vs SUI: ARG wins (YES)@0.75$97238h
boughtARG vs SUI: ARG wins (YES)@0.76$2.5k238h

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