ForetellerForeteller
2C
2cJi…h6kYrank #4
sports
score
60
Follow
+69%
ROI · 7d
$26
Profit · 7d
5
Markets
Performance · 7d5 settled
Open positions

No open positions.

Forecasting skill · all-time4 scored calls
Forecast score
98
Avg edge / share
+33.5¢
Edge, worst case
+20.5¢
Closing line value
+8.0¢
size-weighted edge +33.2¢

Edge is what a call paid versus the price paid for it; the worst-case figure is the lower 90% confidence bound, so it separates skill from luck. Closing line value compares entries to the market's final price. Size-weighted edge shows whether the edge survives their position sizes; sizing discipline is the correlation between stake and edge. Dust, hedged pairs, and settlement-adjacent entries are excluded. This dataset accumulates for life, not 7 days.

Breakdown
PnL by category
sports
+$26
Current streak
5 wins
in a row
Best call
FRA vs ESP: ESP wins (YES)
+129% · +$8
Recent activity
redeemedENG vs ARG: ARG wins (YES)@1.00+$20143h
boughtENG vs ARG: ARG wins (YES)@0.50$10152h
redeemedFRA vs ESP: ESP wins (YES)@1.00+$14168h
boughtFRA vs ESP: ESP wins (YES)@0.44$6187h
redeemedNOR vs ENG: ENG wins (YES)@1.00+$12237h
boughtNOR vs ENG: ENG wins (YES)@0.68$8257h
redeemedESP vs BEL: ESP wins (YES)@1.00+$9264h
boughtESP vs BEL: ESP wins (YES)@0.76$7286h
redeemedFRA vs MAR: FRA wins (YES)@1.00+$7287h
boughtFRA vs MAR: FRA wins (YES)@0.78$6298h

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