ForetellerForeteller
2C
2cTg…ZsFSrank #432
crypto
score
48
Follow
-23%
ROI · 7d
-$94
Profit · 7d
19
Markets
Performance · 7d19 settled
Open positions

No open positions.

Forecasting skill · all-time27 scored calls
Forecast score
10
Avg edge / share
+1.6¢
Edge, worst case
-11.0¢
Closing line value
-11.1¢
crypto 10 · 27 callssize-weighted edge -6.8¢sizing discipline -0.1575% positive days

Edge is what a call paid versus the price paid for it; the worst-case figure is the lower 90% confidence bound, so it separates skill from luck. Closing line value compares entries to the market's final price. Size-weighted edge shows whether the edge survives their position sizes; sizing discipline is the correlation between stake and edge. Dust, hedged pairs, and settlement-adjacent entries are excluded. This dataset accumulates for life, not 7 days.

Breakdown
PnL by category
crypto
-$94
Current streak
1 loss
in a row
Best call
BTC Up
+123% · +$0.76
Recent activity
redeemedBTC Up@0.00expired200h
boughtBTC Up@0.47$9200h
redeemedBTC Up@1.00+$9200h
boughtBTC Up@0.74$7200h
redeemedBTC Up@1.00+$8200h
boughtBTC Up@0.12$0.23201h
boughtBTC Up@0.99$3201h
boughtBTC Up@0.99$3201h
redeemedBTC Up@1.00+$1220h
boughtBTC Up@0.45$0.62220h

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