ForetellerForeteller
2D
2diF…3d5mrank #77
crypto
score
53
Follow
-1%
ROI · 7d
-$0.95
Profit · 7d
10
Markets
Performance · 7d10 settled
Open positions

No open positions.

Forecasting skill · all-time12 scored calls
Forecast score
0
Avg edge / share
-3.6¢
Edge, worst case
-31.0¢
Closing line value
+0.4¢
crypto 0 · 12 callssize-weighted edge -23.6¢

Edge is what a call paid versus the price paid for it; the worst-case figure is the lower 90% confidence bound, so it separates skill from luck. Closing line value compares entries to the market's final price. Size-weighted edge shows whether the edge survives their position sizes; sizing discipline is the correlation between stake and edge. Dust, hedged pairs, and settlement-adjacent entries are excluded. This dataset accumulates for life, not 7 days.

Breakdown
PnL by category
crypto
-$0.95
Current streak
4 losss
in a row
Best call
BTC Up
+586% · +$20
Recent activity
redeemedBTC Up@0.00expired285h
boughtBTC Up@0.99$8285h
redeemedBTC Up@0.00expired285h
boughtBTC Up@0.99$10285h
boughtBTC Up@0.50$4285h
soldBTC Up@0.50+$2285h
boughtBTC Up@0.50$2285h
redeemedBTC Up@0.00expired290h
boughtBTC Up@0.50$5291h
boughtBTC Up@0.31$2291h

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