ForetellerForeteller
2H
2h6r…fr9V
crypto
score
44
Follow
-51%
ROI · 7d
-$55
Profit · 7d
4
Markets
Performance · 7d4 settled
Open positions

No open positions.

Forecasting skill · all-time4 scored calls
Forecast score
0
Avg edge / share
-30.0¢
Edge, worst case
-54.1¢
Closing line value
-7.2¢
size-weighted edge -32.0¢

Edge is what a call paid versus the price paid for it; the worst-case figure is the lower 90% confidence bound, so it separates skill from luck. Closing line value compares entries to the market's final price. Size-weighted edge shows whether the edge survives their position sizes; sizing discipline is the correlation between stake and edge. Dust, hedged pairs, and settlement-adjacent entries are excluded. This dataset accumulates for life, not 7 days.

Breakdown
PnL by category
crypto
-$55
Current streak
1 loss
in a row
Best call
BTC Up
+1% · +$0.25
Recent activity
redeemedBTC Up@0.00expired213h
boughtBTC Up@0.28$18213h
redeemedBTC Up@1.00+$25220h
boughtBTC Up@0.99$25220h
redeemedBTC Up@0.00expired230h
boughtBTC Up@0.70$28230h
redeemedBTC Up@1.00+$28230h
redeemedBTC Up@0.00expired230h
boughtBTC Up@0.24$18230h
boughtBTC Up@0.68$19231h

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