ForetellerForeteller
2H
2hQQ…zqgcrank #1016
cryptoother
score
37
Follow
-35%
ROI · 7d
-$482
Profit · 7d
49
Markets
Performance · 7d49 settled
Open positions

No open positions.

Forecasting skill · all-time26 scored calls
Forecast score
0
Avg edge / share
-24.0¢
Edge, worst case
-38.3¢
Closing line value
-10.1¢
crypto 0 · 22 callssize-weighted edge -30.8¢sizing discipline -0.26

Edge is what a call paid versus the price paid for it; the worst-case figure is the lower 90% confidence bound, so it separates skill from luck. Closing line value compares entries to the market's final price. Size-weighted edge shows whether the edge survives their position sizes; sizing discipline is the correlation between stake and edge. Dust, hedged pairs, and settlement-adjacent entries are excluded. This dataset accumulates for life, not 7 days.

Breakdown
PnL by category
other
-$12
crypto
-$471
Current streak
3 losss
in a row
Best call
BTC Up
+100% · +$15
Recent activity
redeemed@0.00expired153h
bought@0.39$7153h
sold@0.67+$6153h
bought@0.63$2153h
bought@0.53$4153h
sold@0.04+$5153h
bought@0.15$20154h
sold@0.50+$12154h
bought@0.75$18154h
sold@0.50+$0.45154h

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