ForetellerForeteller
2N
2nFG…cgqwrank #623
cryptosportsother
score
46
Follow
+6%
ROI · 7d
$76
Profit · 7d
9
Markets
Performance · 7d9 settled
Open positions

No open positions.

Forecasting skill · all-time7 scored calls
Forecast score
34
Avg edge / share
+11.0¢
Edge, worst case
-3.4¢
Closing line value
+17.2¢
crypto 6 · 5 callssize-weighted edge +28.0¢

Edge is what a call paid versus the price paid for it; the worst-case figure is the lower 90% confidence bound, so it separates skill from luck. Closing line value compares entries to the market's final price. Size-weighted edge shows whether the edge survives their position sizes; sizing discipline is the correlation between stake and edge. Dust, hedged pairs, and settlement-adjacent entries are excluded. This dataset accumulates for life, not 7 days.

Breakdown
PnL by category
crypto
+$192
other
+$8
sports
-$124
Current streak
1 win
in a row
Best call
BTC Up
+49% · +$137
Recent activity
redeemed@1.00+$445153h
bought@0.98$436153h
redeemedBTC Up@0.00expired181h
boughtBTC Up@0.01$15181h
redeemedBTC Up@1.00+$416204h
boughtBTC Up@0.67$279204h
redeemedBTC Up@1.00+$295204h
boughtBTC Up@0.70$207204h
redeemedBTC Up@1.00+$8223h
redeemedBTC Up@0.00expired223h

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