ForetellerForeteller
2N
2nSh…82gurank #829
other
score
43
Follow
-77%
ROI · 7d
-$44
Profit · 7d
5
Markets
Performance · 7d5 settled
Open positions

No open positions.

Forecasting skill · all-time3 scored calls
Forecast score
0
Avg edge / share
-6.4¢
Edge, worst case
-56.9¢
Closing line value
-6.1¢
size-weighted edge -28.3¢

Edge is what a call paid versus the price paid for it; the worst-case figure is the lower 90% confidence bound, so it separates skill from luck. Closing line value compares entries to the market's final price. Size-weighted edge shows whether the edge survives their position sizes; sizing discipline is the correlation between stake and edge. Dust, hedged pairs, and settlement-adjacent entries are excluded. This dataset accumulates for life, not 7 days.

Breakdown
PnL by category
crypto
-$44
Current streak
1 win
in a row
Best call
BTC Up
+45% · +$0.28
Recent activity
soldBTC Up@0.50+$0.34170h
boughtBTC Up@0.50$0.34170h
soldBTC Up@0.99+$0.28170h
boughtBTC Up@0.50$0.14170h
soldBTC Up@0.99+$0.29170h
redeemedBTC Up@0.00expired170h
boughtBTC Up@0.50$0.15170h
boughtBTC Up@0.14$15170h
soldBTC Up@0.50+$12170h
boughtBTC Up@0.81$20170h

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