ForetellerForeteller
2O
2on8…C68xrank #193
sports
score
51
Follow
+54%
ROI · 7d
$321
Profit · 7d
6
Markets
Performance · 7d6 settled
Open positions
YESPOR vs ESP: ESP wins (YES)
$57 @ 0.67
Forecasting skill · all-time5 scored calls
Forecast score
0
Avg edge / share
-5.7¢
Edge, worst case
-26.9¢
Closing line value
+4.2¢
sports 0 · 5 callssize-weighted edge +1.4¢

Edge is what a call paid versus the price paid for it; the worst-case figure is the lower 90% confidence bound, so it separates skill from luck. Closing line value compares entries to the market's final price. Size-weighted edge shows whether the edge survives their position sizes; sizing discipline is the correlation between stake and edge. Dust, hedged pairs, and settlement-adjacent entries are excluded. This dataset accumulates for life, not 7 days.

Breakdown
PnL by category
sports
+$321
Current streak
3 wins
in a row
Best call
FRA vs ESP: ESP wins (YES)
+143% · +$267
Recent activity
redeemedENG vs ARG: ARG wins (YES)@1.00+$201144h
boughtENG vs ARG: ARG wins (YES)@0.50$100147h
soldFRA vs ESP: ESP wins (YES)@0.99+$454168h
boughtFRA vs ESP: ESP wins (YES)@0.41$187178h
redeemedARG vs SUI: ARG wins (YES)@1.00+$129233h
redeemedNOR vs ENG: NOR wins (YES)@0.00expired237h
boughtARG vs SUI: ARG wins (YES)@0.75$97240h
boughtNOR vs ENG: NOR wins (YES)@0.37$93246h
redeemedESP vs BEL: ESP wins (YES)@1.00+$129264h
boughtESP vs BEL: ESP wins (YES)@0.75$97268h

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