ForetellerForeteller
2O
2oya…q7tbrank #874
crypto
score
42
Follow
-58%
ROI · 7d
-$61
Profit · 7d
7
Markets
Performance · 7d7 settled
Open positions

No open positions.

Forecasting skill · all-time6 scored calls
Forecast score
0
Avg edge / share
-32.6¢
Edge, worst case
-79.4¢
Closing line value
-25.4¢
crypto 0 · 6 callssize-weighted edge -54.6¢

Edge is what a call paid versus the price paid for it; the worst-case figure is the lower 90% confidence bound, so it separates skill from luck. Closing line value compares entries to the market's final price. Size-weighted edge shows whether the edge survives their position sizes; sizing discipline is the correlation between stake and edge. Dust, hedged pairs, and settlement-adjacent entries are excluded. This dataset accumulates for life, not 7 days.

Breakdown
PnL by category
crypto
-$61
Current streak
4 losss
in a row
Best call
BTC Up
+24% · +$4
Recent activity
redeemedBTC Up@0.00expired175h
boughtBTC Up@0.68$13175h
redeemedBTC Up@0.00expired175h
boughtBTC Up@0.40$6176h
redeemedBTC Up@0.00expired176h
boughtBTC Up@0.84$20176h
soldBTC Up@0.50+$12178h
boughtBTC Up@0.50$12178h
redeemedBTC Up@0.00expired178h
soldBTC Up@0.71+$21178h

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