ForetellerForeteller
2Q
2q1n…2jz5rank #996
cryptosports
score
38
Follow
-77%
ROI · 7d
-$184
Profit · 7d
15
Markets
Performance · 7d15 settled
Open positions

No open positions.

Forecasting skill · all-time16 scored calls
Forecast score
0
Avg edge / share
-33.4¢
Edge, worst case
-48.6¢
Closing line value
-16.9¢
crypto 0 · 13 callssize-weighted edge -41.2¢sizing discipline -0.22

Edge is what a call paid versus the price paid for it; the worst-case figure is the lower 90% confidence bound, so it separates skill from luck. Closing line value compares entries to the market's final price. Size-weighted edge shows whether the edge survives their position sizes; sizing discipline is the correlation between stake and edge. Dust, hedged pairs, and settlement-adjacent entries are excluded. This dataset accumulates for life, not 7 days.

Breakdown
PnL by category
sports
-$34
crypto
-$150
Current streak
4 losss
in a row
Best call
BTC Up
+131% · +$10
Recent activity
redeemedNOR vs ENG: NOR wins (YES)@0.00expired238h
boughtNOR vs ENG: NOR wins (YES)@0.37$17250h
redeemedESP vs BEL: BEL wins (YES)@0.00expired265h
boughtESP vs BEL: BEL wins (YES)@0.28$9267h
redeemedFRA vs MAR: MAR wins (YES)@0.00expired288h
boughtFRA vs MAR: MAR wins (YES)@0.23$3289h
redeemedBTC Up@0.00expired292h
boughtBTC Up@0.30$2292h
boughtBTC Up@0.31$2292h
redeemedBTC Up@1.00+$7292h

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