ForetellerForeteller
2Q
2qHt…UT8vrank #778
cryptoother
score
44
Follow
-54%
ROI · 7d
-$167
Profit · 7d
35
Markets
Performance · 7d36 settled
Open positions

No open positions.

Forecasting skill · all-time26 scored calls
Forecast score
1
Avg edge / share
-7.5¢
Edge, worst case
-23.2¢
Closing line value
+12.5¢
crypto 1 · 26 callssize-weighted edge -34.9¢sizing discipline -0.47

Edge is what a call paid versus the price paid for it; the worst-case figure is the lower 90% confidence bound, so it separates skill from luck. Closing line value compares entries to the market's final price. Size-weighted edge shows whether the edge survives their position sizes; sizing discipline is the correlation between stake and edge. Dust, hedged pairs, and settlement-adjacent entries are excluded. This dataset accumulates for life, not 7 days.

Breakdown
PnL by category
other
+$12
crypto
-$180
Current streak
1 win
in a row
Best call
BTC Up
+362% · +$14
Recent activity
redeemed@1.00+$24142h
bought@0.48$11142h
redeemedBTC Up@0.00expired157h
boughtBTC Up@0.19$5157h
boughtBTC Up@0.43$4157h
redeemedBTC Up@0.00expired157h
boughtBTC Up@0.17$4157h
redeemedBTC Up@0.00expired159h
boughtBTC Up@0.37$2159h
redeemedBTC Up@0.00expired159h

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