ForetellerForeteller
2S
2sXn…1gxcrank #778
crypto
score
44
Follow
-33%
ROI · 7d
-$378
Profit · 7d
12
Markets
Performance · 7d18 settled
Open positions

No open positions.

Forecasting skill · all-time8 scored calls
Forecast score
0
Avg edge / share
-18.0¢
Edge, worst case
-46.6¢
Closing line value
-12.5¢
crypto 0 · 8 callssize-weighted edge -23.6¢

Edge is what a call paid versus the price paid for it; the worst-case figure is the lower 90% confidence bound, so it separates skill from luck. Closing line value compares entries to the market's final price. Size-weighted edge shows whether the edge survives their position sizes; sizing discipline is the correlation between stake and edge. Dust, hedged pairs, and settlement-adjacent entries are excluded. This dataset accumulates for life, not 7 days.

Breakdown
PnL by category
crypto
-$378
Current streak
1 win
in a row
Best call
BTC Up
+76% · +$35
Recent activity
soldBTC Up@0.50+$113208h
boughtBTC Up@0.42$94209h
soldBTC Up@0.50+$114209h
boughtBTC Up@0.86$197209h
redeemedBTC Up@0.00expired209h
redeemedBTC Up@0.00expired209h
boughtBTC Up@0.65$46209h
boughtBTC Up@0.44$47209h
redeemedBTC Up@0.00expired209h
boughtBTC Up@0.55$104209h

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