ForetellerForeteller
2T
2tDQ…imXY
sports
score
48
Follow
+18%
ROI · 7d
$154
Profit · 7d
4
Markets
Performance · 7d4 settled
Open positions
YES
$491 @ 0.38
Forecasting skill · all-time4 scored calls
Forecast score
0
Avg edge / share
-24.4¢
Edge, worst case
-29.6¢
Closing line value
-11.0¢
size-weighted edge -26.2¢

Edge is what a call paid versus the price paid for it; the worst-case figure is the lower 90% confidence bound, so it separates skill from luck. Closing line value compares entries to the market's final price. Size-weighted edge shows whether the edge survives their position sizes; sizing discipline is the correlation between stake and edge. Dust, hedged pairs, and settlement-adjacent entries are excluded. This dataset accumulates for life, not 7 days.

Breakdown
PnL by category
sports
+$154
Current streak
1 win
in a row
Best call
ENG vs ARG: ARG wins (YES)
+154% · +$621
Recent activity
bought@0.38$186144h
redeemedENG vs ARG: ARG wins (YES)@1.00+$1.0k144h
boughtENG vs ARG: ARG wins (YES)@0.23$73146h
boughtENG vs ARG: ARG wins (YES)@0.47$329148h
soldESP wins WC26@0.57+$1.1k148h
redeemedAlexander Zverev wins WM26@0.00expired219h
boughtAlexander Zverev wins WM26@0.27$90222h
redeemedARG vs SUI: SUI wins (YES)@0.00expired234h
boughtARG vs SUI: SUI wins (YES)@0.30$150286h
boughtESP wins WC26@0.19$60286h

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