ForetellerForeteller
2V
2vW5…BnmKrank #432
cryptoother
score
48
Follow
-47%
ROI · 7d
-$205
Profit · 7d
41
Markets
Performance · 7d41 settled
Open positions

No open positions.

Forecasting skill · all-time16 scored calls
Forecast score
87
Avg edge / share
+27.2¢
Edge, worst case
+9.3¢
Closing line value
-11.6¢
other 87 · 16 callssize-weighted edge -6.0¢sizing discipline -0.44

Edge is what a call paid versus the price paid for it; the worst-case figure is the lower 90% confidence bound, so it separates skill from luck. Closing line value compares entries to the market's final price. Size-weighted edge shows whether the edge survives their position sizes; sizing discipline is the correlation between stake and edge. Dust, hedged pairs, and settlement-adjacent entries are excluded. This dataset accumulates for life, not 7 days.

Breakdown
PnL by category
crypto
-$81
other
-$124
Current streak
12 losss
in a row
Best call
BTC Up
+305% · +$14
Recent activity
redeemed@0.00expired149h
bought@0.50$26149h
redeemed@0.00expired150h
bought@0.45$23150h
redeemed@0.00expired150h
bought@0.50$8150h
redeemed@0.00expired154h
bought@0.06$0.90154h
redeemed@0.00expired154h
bought@0.77$19154h

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