ForetellerForeteller
2W
2wvJ…SsBMrank #134
sportsother
score
52
Follow
-1%
ROI · 7d
-$0.09
Profit · 7d
6
Markets
Performance · 7d6 settled
Open positions

No open positions.

Forecasting skill · all-time3 scored calls
Forecast score
1
Avg edge / share
+15.5¢
Edge, worst case
-23.1¢
Closing line value
+15.2¢
size-weighted edge +5.6¢

Edge is what a call paid versus the price paid for it; the worst-case figure is the lower 90% confidence bound, so it separates skill from luck. Closing line value compares entries to the market's final price. Size-weighted edge shows whether the edge survives their position sizes; sizing discipline is the correlation between stake and edge. Dust, hedged pairs, and settlement-adjacent entries are excluded. This dataset accumulates for life, not 7 days.

Breakdown
PnL by category
sports
+$1
other
-$1
Current streak
1 loss
in a row
Best call
ENG vs ARG: ARG wins (YES)
+179% · +$2
Recent activity
redeemed@0.00expired142h
bought@0.99$1142h
redeemedENG vs ARG: ARG wins (YES)@1.00+$2143h
boughtENG vs ARG: ARG wins (YES)@0.25$0.28144h
redeemedFRA vs ESP: FRA wins (YES)@0.00expired168h
boughtENG vs ARG: ARG wins (YES)@0.46$0.59168h
boughtFRA vs ESP: FRA wins (YES)@0.10$0.38169h
boughtFRA vs ESP: FRA wins (YES)@0.60$2193h
redeemedNOR vs ENG: ENG wins (YES)@1.00+$2237h
boughtNOR vs ENG: ENG wins (YES)@0.50$1263h

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