ForetellerForeteller
2X
2xaF…FzgJrank #77
sports
score
53
Follow
+14%
ROI · 7d
$22
Profit · 7d
9
Markets
Performance · 7d10 settled
Open positions
YESESP wins WC26
$27 @ 0.50
YESARG wins WC26
$21 @ 0.18
Forecasting skill · all-time4 scored calls
Forecast score
0
Avg edge / share
-22.6¢
Edge, worst case
-45.9¢
Closing line value
-34.5¢
size-weighted edge -15.2¢

Edge is what a call paid versus the price paid for it; the worst-case figure is the lower 90% confidence bound, so it separates skill from luck. Closing line value compares entries to the market's final price. Size-weighted edge shows whether the edge survives their position sizes; sizing discipline is the correlation between stake and edge. Dust, hedged pairs, and settlement-adjacent entries are excluded. This dataset accumulates for life, not 7 days.

Breakdown
PnL by category
sports
+$23
Current streak
2 wins
in a row
Best call
ESP vs BEL: ESP wins (YES)
+605% · +$34
Recent activity
soldENG vs ARG: ARG wins (YES)@0.50+$10144h
boughtESP wins WC26@0.50$13167h
soldFRA wins WC26@0.50+$6167h
redeemedFRA vs ESP: ESP wins (YES)@0.00expired167h
redeemedFRA vs ESP: FRA wins (YES)@0.00expired168h
boughtFRA vs ESP: ESP wins (YES)@0.92$30168h
boughtFRA wins WC26@0.40$5191h
boughtARG wins WC26@0.18$4191h
boughtENG vs ARG: ARG wins (YES)@0.46$9192h
boughtFRA vs ESP: FRA wins (YES)@0.60$14192h

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