ForetellerForeteller
39
39hF…cCfrrank #134
sportscrypto
score
52
Follow
+17%
ROI · 7d
$15
Profit · 7d
6
Markets
Performance · 7d7 settled
Open positions
YES
$65 @ 0.46
Forecasting skill · all-time4 scored calls
Forecast score
0
Avg edge / share
+4.6¢
Edge, worst case
-30.7¢
Closing line value
-20.0¢
size-weighted edge -5.8¢

Edge is what a call paid versus the price paid for it; the worst-case figure is the lower 90% confidence bound, so it separates skill from luck. Closing line value compares entries to the market's final price. Size-weighted edge shows whether the edge survives their position sizes; sizing discipline is the correlation between stake and edge. Dust, hedged pairs, and settlement-adjacent entries are excluded. This dataset accumulates for life, not 7 days.

Breakdown
PnL by category
crypto
+$23
sports
+$7
Current streak
2 wins
in a row
Best call
FRA vs ESP: ESP wins (YES)
+129% · +$12
Recent activity
bought@0.46$30143h
redeemedENG vs ARG: ARG wins (YES)@1.00+$44143h
boughtENG vs ARG: ARG wins (YES)@0.46$0.21168h
boughtENG vs ARG: ARG wins (YES)@0.49$21168h
redeemedFRA vs ESP: ESP wins (YES)@1.00+$21168h
boughtFRA vs ESP: ESP wins (YES)@0.44$9229h
redeemedNOR vs ENG: NOR wins (YES)@0.00expired237h
boughtNOR vs ENG: NOR wins (YES)@0.36$8255h
boughtNOR vs ENG: NOR wins (YES)@0.39$2256h
boughtNOR vs ENG: NOR wins (YES)@0.39$10260h

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