ForetellerForeteller
3H
3Hvy…US3Drank #532
crypto
score
47
Follow
-67%
ROI · 7d
-$136
Profit · 7d
6
Markets
Performance · 7d6 settled
Open positions

No open positions.

Forecasting skill · all-time6 scored calls
Forecast score
0
Avg edge / share
-28.0¢
Edge, worst case
-68.9¢
Closing line value
-4.2¢
crypto 0 · 6 callssize-weighted edge -62.4¢

Edge is what a call paid versus the price paid for it; the worst-case figure is the lower 90% confidence bound, so it separates skill from luck. Closing line value compares entries to the market's final price. Size-weighted edge shows whether the edge survives their position sizes; sizing discipline is the correlation between stake and edge. Dust, hedged pairs, and settlement-adjacent entries are excluded. This dataset accumulates for life, not 7 days.

Breakdown
PnL by category
crypto
-$136
Current streak
2 losss
in a row
Best call
BTC Up
+65% · +$6
Recent activity
redeemedBTC Up@0.00expired272h
boughtBTC Up@0.99$38272h
redeemedBTC Up@0.00expired294h
boughtBTC Up@0.50$8295h
boughtBTC Up@0.99$91295h
redeemedBTC Up@1.00+$41295h
boughtBTC Up@0.99$40295h
redeemedBTC Up@1.00+$10295h
boughtBTC Up@0.68$7295h
redeemedBTC Up@0.00expired296h

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