ForetellerForeteller
3P
3PAe…GJKCrank #134
sports
score
52
Follow
+43%
ROI · 7d
$19
Profit · 7d
5
Markets
Performance · 7d5 settled
Open positions
YESPOR vs ESP: ESP wins (YES)
$17 @ 0.67
Forecasting skill · all-time6 scored calls
Forecast score
26
Avg edge / share
+16.1¢
Edge, worst case
-5.2¢
Closing line value
+13.7¢
sports 26 · 6 callssize-weighted edge +25.3¢

Edge is what a call paid versus the price paid for it; the worst-case figure is the lower 90% confidence bound, so it separates skill from luck. Closing line value compares entries to the market's final price. Size-weighted edge shows whether the edge survives their position sizes; sizing discipline is the correlation between stake and edge. Dust, hedged pairs, and settlement-adjacent entries are excluded. This dataset accumulates for life, not 7 days.

Breakdown
PnL by category
sports
+$19
Current streak
2 wins
in a row
Best call
Linda Noskova wins WW26
+109% · +$12
Recent activity
redeemedJannik Sinner wins WM26@1.00+$13218h
boughtJannik Sinner wins WM26@0.83$6225h
boughtJannik Sinner wins WM26@0.81$5231h
redeemedARG vs SUI: ARG wins (YES)@1.00+$4233h
boughtARG vs SUI: ARG wins (YES)@0.72$3234h
redeemedNOR vs ENG: NOR wins (YES)@0.00expired237h
boughtNOR vs ENG: NOR wins (YES)@0.43$3238h
redeemedLinda Noskova wins WW26@1.00+$24243h
redeemedESP vs BEL: ESP wins (YES)@1.00+$23264h
boughtESP vs BEL: ESP wins (YES)@0.73$16266h

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