ForetellerForeteller
3R
3RmG…2ZDKrank #1123
crypto
score
22
Follow
-76%
ROI · 7d
-$249
Profit · 7d
16
Markets
Performance · 7d16 settled
Open positions

No open positions.

Forecasting skill · all-time15 scored calls
Forecast score
0
Avg edge / share
-23.3¢
Edge, worst case
-36.2¢
Closing line value
-6.1¢
crypto 0 · 15 callssize-weighted edge -45.2¢sizing discipline -0.41

Edge is what a call paid versus the price paid for it; the worst-case figure is the lower 90% confidence bound, so it separates skill from luck. Closing line value compares entries to the market's final price. Size-weighted edge shows whether the edge survives their position sizes; sizing discipline is the correlation between stake and edge. Dust, hedged pairs, and settlement-adjacent entries are excluded. This dataset accumulates for life, not 7 days.

Breakdown
PnL by category
crypto
-$249
Current streak
11 losss
in a row
Best call
BTC Up
+3% · +$0.06
Recent activity
redeemedBTC Up@0.00expired186h
boughtBTC Up@0.02$0.89186h
boughtBTC Up@0.04$0.89186h
boughtBTC Up@0.43$5186h
redeemedBTC Up@0.00expired199h
boughtBTC Up@0.99$5199h
redeemedBTC Up@0.00expired199h
boughtBTC Up@0.21$0.91199h
redeemedBTC Up@1.00+$24207h
redeemedBTC Up@0.00expired207h

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