ForetellerForeteller
3W
3W7t…Extarank #134
sports
score
52
Follow
-21%
ROI · 7d
-$2
Profit · 7d
7
Markets
Performance · 7d7 settled
Open positions
YESESP wins WC26
$8 @ 0.58
Forecasting skill · all-time7 scored calls
Forecast score
4
Avg edge / share
+6.5¢
Edge, worst case
-16.1¢
Closing line value
-0.7¢
sports 4 · 7 callssize-weighted edge -8.2¢

Edge is what a call paid versus the price paid for it; the worst-case figure is the lower 90% confidence bound, so it separates skill from luck. Closing line value compares entries to the market's final price. Size-weighted edge shows whether the edge survives their position sizes; sizing discipline is the correlation between stake and edge. Dust, hedged pairs, and settlement-adjacent entries are excluded. This dataset accumulates for life, not 7 days.

Breakdown
PnL by category
sports
-$2
Current streak
1 win
in a row
Best call
FRA vs ESP: ESP wins (YES)
+145% · +$1
Recent activity
redeemedENG vs ARG: ARG wins (YES)@1.00+$2143h
boughtESP wins WC26@0.58$5153h
redeemedFRA wins WC26@0.00expired164h
redeemedFRA vs ESP: ESP wins (YES)@1.00+$2168h
boughtFRA vs ESP: ESP wins (YES)@0.41$0.93223h
boughtENG vs ARG: ARG wins (YES)@0.46$0.94223h
redeemedARG vs SUI: ARG wins (YES)@1.00+$1233h
redeemedNOR vs ENG: NOR wins (YES)@0.00expired237h
redeemedESP vs BEL: ESP wins (YES)@1.00+$1264h
boughtARG vs SUI: ARG wins (YES)@0.74$0.97269h

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