ForetellerForeteller
3W
3WVT…bwvF
sports
score
45
Follow
-48%
ROI · 7d
-$774
Profit · 7d
4
Markets
Performance · 7d4 settled
Open positions

No open positions.

Forecasting skill · all-time4 scored calls
Forecast score
0
Avg edge / share
-8.6¢
Edge, worst case
-39.0¢
Closing line value
-8.6¢
size-weighted edge -3.0¢

Edge is what a call paid versus the price paid for it; the worst-case figure is the lower 90% confidence bound, so it separates skill from luck. Closing line value compares entries to the market's final price. Size-weighted edge shows whether the edge survives their position sizes; sizing discipline is the correlation between stake and edge. Dust, hedged pairs, and settlement-adjacent entries are excluded. This dataset accumulates for life, not 7 days.

Breakdown
PnL by category
sports
-$774
Current streak
3 losss
in a row
Best call
ARG vs SUI: ARG wins (YES)
+33% · +$94
Recent activity
redeemedFRA vs ESP: FRA wins (YES)@0.00expired169h
boughtFRA vs ESP: FRA wins (YES)@0.10$43170h
soldFRA vs ESP: FRA wins (YES)@0.08+$53170h
boughtFRA vs ESP: FRA wins (YES)@0.60$381219h
soldJannik Sinner wins WM26@0.99+$398219h
boughtJannik Sinner wins WM26@0.71$285221h
boughtJannik Sinner wins WM26@0.77$0.13221h
redeemedAlexander Zverev wins WM26@0.00expired221h
boughtAlexander Zverev wins WM26@0.42$231221h
redeemedJannik Sinner wins WM26@0.00expired221h

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