ForetellerForeteller
3E
3eLZ…2d42
cryptosports
score
49
Follow
-6%
ROI · 7d
-$5
Profit · 7d
3
Markets
Performance · 7d3 settled
Open positions

No open positions.

Forecasting skill · all-time2 scored calls
Forecast score
0
Avg edge / share
-12.1¢
Edge, worst case
-74.5¢
Closing line value
-12.1¢
size-weighted edge +0.6¢

Edge is what a call paid versus the price paid for it; the worst-case figure is the lower 90% confidence bound, so it separates skill from luck. Closing line value compares entries to the market's final price. Size-weighted edge shows whether the edge survives their position sizes; sizing discipline is the correlation between stake and edge. Dust, hedged pairs, and settlement-adjacent entries are excluded. This dataset accumulates for life, not 7 days.

Breakdown
PnL by category
sports
+$15
crypto
-$20
Current streak
1 win
in a row
Best call
ESP vs BEL: ESP wins (YES)
+35% · +$15
Recent activity
redeemedESP vs BEL: ESP wins (YES)@1.00+$56266h
redeemedBTC Up@0.00expired290h
boughtBTC Up@0.50$21290h
soldBTC Up@0.78+$32291h
boughtBTC Up@0.75$31291h
boughtESP vs BEL: ESP wins (YES)@0.74$42291h

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