ForetellerForeteller
3K
3kQN…yVY8
othercryptosports
score
52
Follow
+25%
ROI · 7d
$36
Profit · 7d
4
Markets
Performance · 7d4 settled
Open positions

No open positions.

Forecasting skill · all-time1 scored calls
Forecast score
97
Avg edge / share
+59.2¢
Edge, worst case
+18.0¢
Closing line value
-39.8¢
size-weighted edge +59.2¢

Edge is what a call paid versus the price paid for it; the worst-case figure is the lower 90% confidence bound, so it separates skill from luck. Closing line value compares entries to the market's final price. Size-weighted edge shows whether the edge survives their position sizes; sizing discipline is the correlation between stake and edge. Dust, hedged pairs, and settlement-adjacent entries are excluded. This dataset accumulates for life, not 7 days.

Breakdown
PnL by category
sports
+$53
crypto
-$0.31
other
-$17
Current streak
1 loss
in a row
Best call
+158% · +$26
Recent activity
redeemed@0.00expired143h
bought@0.27$46143h
sold@0.37+$46143h
bought@0.34$43143h
redeemed@1.00+$43143h
bought@0.39$17143h
redeemedFRA vs ESP: ESP wins (YES)@1.00+$89169h
redeemedBTC Up@0.00expired172h
boughtBTC Up@0.01$0.31172h
boughtFRA vs ESP: ESP wins (YES)@0.41$20179h

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