ForetellerForeteller
3K
3kp5…sHdYrank #42
cryptoother
score
54
Follow
+7%
ROI · 7d
$3
Profit · 7d
19
Markets
Performance · 7d24 settled
Open positions

No open positions.

Forecasting skill · all-time11 scored calls
Forecast score
0
Avg edge / share
-17.8¢
Edge, worst case
-41.0¢
Closing line value
-0.4¢
crypto 0 · 10 callssize-weighted edge -26.1¢

Edge is what a call paid versus the price paid for it; the worst-case figure is the lower 90% confidence bound, so it separates skill from luck. Closing line value compares entries to the market's final price. Size-weighted edge shows whether the edge survives their position sizes; sizing discipline is the correlation between stake and edge. Dust, hedged pairs, and settlement-adjacent entries are excluded. This dataset accumulates for life, not 7 days.

Breakdown
PnL by category
crypto
+$19
Current streak
1 win
in a row
Best call
BTC Up
+2082% · +$9
Recent activity
soldBTC Up@0.41+$0.74166h
boughtBTC Up@0.50$0.89166h
soldBTC Up@0.84+$1166h
boughtBTC Up@0.50$0.73166h
redeemedBTC Up@0.00expired167h
boughtBTC Up@0.50$1167h
soldBTC Up@0.99+$4177h
boughtBTC Up@0.99$4177h
soldBTC Up@0.70+$0.02177h
soldBTC Up@0.71+$0.72177h

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