ForetellerForeteller
3O
3oTE…XJcCrank #42
sports
score
54
Follow
+13%
ROI · 7d
$6
Profit · 7d
6
Markets
Performance · 7d6 settled
Open positions

No open positions.

Forecasting skill · all-time5 scored calls
Forecast score
2
Avg edge / share
+11.4¢
Edge, worst case
-19.4¢
Closing line value
+10.8¢
sports 2 · 5 callssize-weighted edge -0.2¢

Edge is what a call paid versus the price paid for it; the worst-case figure is the lower 90% confidence bound, so it separates skill from luck. Closing line value compares entries to the market's final price. Size-weighted edge shows whether the edge survives their position sizes; sizing discipline is the correlation between stake and edge. Dust, hedged pairs, and settlement-adjacent entries are excluded. This dataset accumulates for life, not 7 days.

Breakdown
PnL by category
sports
+$6
Current streak
1 win
in a row
Best call
ENG vs ARG: ARG wins (YES)
+118% · +$7
Recent activity
redeemedENG vs ARG: ARG wins (YES)@1.00+$13143h
redeemedFRA vs ESP: FRA wins (YES)@0.00expired168h
boughtENG vs ARG: ARG wins (YES)@0.46$6206h
boughtFRA vs ESP: FRA wins (YES)@0.60$13206h
redeemedJannik Sinner wins WM26@1.00+$5218h
boughtJannik Sinner wins WM26@0.83$4223h
redeemedARG vs SUI: ARG wins (YES)@1.00+$19233h
redeemedNOR vs ENG: ENG wins (YES)@1.00+$8237h
boughtARG vs SUI: ARG wins (YES)@0.75$8251h
boughtARG vs SUI: ARG wins (YES)@0.75$7258h

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