ForetellerForeteller
3P
3p43…9Q6irank #42
sports
score
54
Follow
+33%
ROI · 7d
$2
Profit · 7d
6
Markets
Performance · 7d6 settled
Open positions

No open positions.

Forecasting skill · all-time5 scored calls
Forecast score
2
Avg edge / share
+12.6¢
Edge, worst case
-18.4¢
Closing line value
+12.0¢
sports 2 · 5 callssize-weighted edge +11.7¢

Edge is what a call paid versus the price paid for it; the worst-case figure is the lower 90% confidence bound, so it separates skill from luck. Closing line value compares entries to the market's final price. Size-weighted edge shows whether the edge survives their position sizes; sizing discipline is the correlation between stake and edge. Dust, hedged pairs, and settlement-adjacent entries are excluded. This dataset accumulates for life, not 7 days.

Breakdown
PnL by category
sports
+$2
Current streak
1 win
in a row
Best call
ENG vs ARG: ARG wins (YES)
+118% · +$1
Recent activity
redeemedENG vs ARG: ARG wins (YES)@1.00+$2143h
redeemedFRA vs ESP: FRA wins (YES)@0.00expired168h
boughtENG vs ARG: ARG wins (YES)@0.46$0.94230h
boughtFRA vs ESP: FRA wins (YES)@0.60$0.95230h
redeemedARG vs SUI: ARG wins (YES)@1.00+$1233h
redeemedNOR vs ENG: ENG wins (YES)@1.00+$1237h
redeemedESP vs BEL: ESP wins (YES)@1.00+$1264h
boughtESP vs BEL: ESP wins (YES)@0.74$0.49286h
boughtNOR vs ENG: ENG wins (YES)@0.50$0.74286h
redeemedFRA vs MAR: FRA wins (YES)@1.00+$2287h

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