ForetellerForeteller
3P
3puw…JASmrank #134
crypto
score
52
Follow
-49%
ROI · 7d
-$2
Profit · 7d
5
Markets
Performance · 7d5 settled
Open positions

No open positions.

Forecasting skill · all-time3 scored calls
Forecast score
0
Avg edge / share
-50.3¢
Edge, worst case
-96.0¢
Closing line value
-34.8¢
size-weighted edge -59.8¢

Edge is what a call paid versus the price paid for it; the worst-case figure is the lower 90% confidence bound, so it separates skill from luck. Closing line value compares entries to the market's final price. Size-weighted edge shows whether the edge survives their position sizes; sizing discipline is the correlation between stake and edge. Dust, hedged pairs, and settlement-adjacent entries are excluded. This dataset accumulates for life, not 7 days.

Breakdown
PnL by category
crypto
-$2
Current streak
4 losss
in a row
Best call
BTC Up
+628% · +$0.90
Recent activity
redeemedBTC Up@1.00+$0.15278h
redeemedBTC Up@0.00expired278h
boughtBTC Up@0.01$0.02279h
boughtBTC Up@0.50$0.07279h
boughtBTC Up@0.47$0.09279h
redeemedBTC Up@1.00+$0.60280h
redeemedBTC Up@0.00expired280h
boughtBTC Up@0.99$0.26280h
boughtBTC Up@0.99$0.34280h
boughtBTC Up@0.50$0.10280h

Powered by Fortel