ForetellerForeteller
3X
3xov…HrQprank #134
sports
score
52
Follow
+29%
ROI · 7d
$172
Profit · 7d
6
Markets
Performance · 7d6 settled
Open positions
YESPOR vs ESP: ESP wins (YES)
$154 @ 0.62
YESESP wins WC26
$696 @ 0.13
Forecasting skill · all-time4 scored calls
Forecast score
1
Avg edge / share
+7.4¢
Edge, worst case
-24.5¢
Closing line value
-17.2¢
size-weighted edge +7.5¢

Edge is what a call paid versus the price paid for it; the worst-case figure is the lower 90% confidence bound, so it separates skill from luck. Closing line value compares entries to the market's final price. Size-weighted edge shows whether the edge survives their position sizes; sizing discipline is the correlation between stake and edge. Dust, hedged pairs, and settlement-adjacent entries are excluded. This dataset accumulates for life, not 7 days.

Breakdown
PnL by category
sports
+$172
Current streak
3 wins
in a row
Best call
Alexander Zverev wins WM26
+120% · +$120
Recent activity
redeemedENG vs ARG: ARG wins (YES)@1.00+$201143h
boughtENG vs ARG: ARG wins (YES)@0.50$100152h
redeemedFRA vs ESP: ESP wins (YES)@1.00+$218168h
boughtFRA vs ESP: ESP wins (YES)@0.46$100171h
soldAlexander Zverev wins WM26@0.50+$220218h
boughtAlexander Zverev wins WM26@0.23$100221h
redeemedNOR vs ENG: NOR wins (YES)@0.00expired237h
boughtNOR vs ENG: NOR wins (YES)@0.15$50238h
boughtNOR vs ENG: NOR wins (YES)@0.34$100241h
redeemedESP vs BEL: ESP wins (YES)@1.00+$133264h

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