ForetellerForeteller
41
41aF…URh6rank #342
cryptoothersports
score
49
Follow
-20%
ROI · 7d
-$54
Profit · 7d
35
Markets
Performance · 7d35 settled
Open positions

No open positions.

Forecasting skill · all-time25 scored calls
Forecast score
2
Avg edge / share
-3.8¢
Edge, worst case
-19.0¢
Closing line value
+6.5¢
other 7 · 8 callscrypto 0 · 15 callssize-weighted edge -11.2¢sizing discipline -0.1733% positive days

Edge is what a call paid versus the price paid for it; the worst-case figure is the lower 90% confidence bound, so it separates skill from luck. Closing line value compares entries to the market's final price. Size-weighted edge shows whether the edge survives their position sizes; sizing discipline is the correlation between stake and edge. Dust, hedged pairs, and settlement-adjacent entries are excluded. This dataset accumulates for life, not 7 days.

Breakdown
PnL by category
other
-$3
sports
-$6
crypto
-$44
Current streak
1 loss
in a row
Best call
BTC Up
+364% · +$9
Recent activity
redeemed@0.00expired146h
bought@0.14$0.50146h
bought@0.23$1146h
redeemed@1.00+$2146h
bought@0.41$1146h
redeemed@0.00expired146h
bought@0.33$1147h
redeemed@0.00expired147h
bought@0.59$2147h
bought@0.27$0.50147h

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