ForetellerForeteller
42
42dx…iU8m
sports
score
49
Follow
-77%
ROI · 7d
-$4.5k
Profit · 7d
3
Markets
Performance · 7d3 settled
Open positions

No open positions.

Forecasting skill · all-time3 scored calls
Forecast score
0
Avg edge / share
-4.5¢
Edge, worst case
-51.0¢
Closing line value
-4.8¢
size-weighted edge -46.3¢

Edge is what a call paid versus the price paid for it; the worst-case figure is the lower 90% confidence bound, so it separates skill from luck. Closing line value compares entries to the market's final price. Size-weighted edge shows whether the edge survives their position sizes; sizing discipline is the correlation between stake and edge. Dust, hedged pairs, and settlement-adjacent entries are excluded. This dataset accumulates for life, not 7 days.

Breakdown
PnL by category
sports
-$4.5k
Current streak
1 loss
in a row
Best call
ESP vs BEL: ESP wins (YES)
+35% · +$17
Recent activity
redeemedFRA vs ESP: FRA wins (YES)@0.00expired168h
boughtFRA vs ESP: FRA wins (YES)@0.61$4.8k189h
redeemedESP vs BEL: ESP wins (YES)@1.00+$65265h
boughtESP vs BEL: ESP wins (YES)@0.74$49285h
redeemedFRA vs MAR: FRA wins (YES)@1.00+$1.2k288h
boughtFRA vs MAR: FRA wins (YES)@0.78$975335h

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