ForetellerForeteller
47
47as…WbTgrank #874
cryptosportsother
score
42
Follow
-48%
ROI · 7d
-$320
Profit · 7d
18
Markets
Performance · 7d18 settled
Open positions

No open positions.

Forecasting skill · all-time11 scored calls
Forecast score
15
Avg edge / share
+11.9¢
Edge, worst case
-8.6¢
Closing line value
+1.3¢
other 0 · 7 callssize-weighted edge +0.0¢

Edge is what a call paid versus the price paid for it; the worst-case figure is the lower 90% confidence bound, so it separates skill from luck. Closing line value compares entries to the market's final price. Size-weighted edge shows whether the edge survives their position sizes; sizing discipline is the correlation between stake and edge. Dust, hedged pairs, and settlement-adjacent entries are excluded. This dataset accumulates for life, not 7 days.

Breakdown
PnL by category
sports
+$13
other
-$29
crypto
-$304
Current streak
1 loss
in a row
Best call
FRA vs ESP: ESP wins (YES)
+129% · +$10
Recent activity
redeemed@0.00expired149h
bought@0.88$30149h
redeemed@1.00+$30149h
bought@0.99$29149h
redeemedBTC Up@0.00expired161h
boughtBTC Up@0.50$8161h
redeemedBTC Up@0.00expired162h
boughtBTC Up@0.50$2162h
redeemedBTC Up@0.00expired162h
boughtBTC Up@0.67$30162h

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