ForetellerForeteller
49
49hu…gbPn
crypto
score
49
Follow
-83%
ROI · 7d
-$140
Profit · 7d
3
Markets
Performance · 7d3 settled
Open positions

No open positions.

Forecasting skill · all-time3 scored calls
Forecast score
0
Avg edge / share
-21.7¢
Edge, worst case
-81.0¢
Closing line value
-19.4¢
size-weighted edge -49.9¢

Edge is what a call paid versus the price paid for it; the worst-case figure is the lower 90% confidence bound, so it separates skill from luck. Closing line value compares entries to the market's final price. Size-weighted edge shows whether the edge survives their position sizes; sizing discipline is the correlation between stake and edge. Dust, hedged pairs, and settlement-adjacent entries are excluded. This dataset accumulates for life, not 7 days.

Breakdown
PnL by category
crypto
-$140
Current streak
2 losss
in a row
Best call
BTC Up
+100% · +$15
Recent activity
redeemedBTC Up@0.00expired217h
boughtBTC Up@0.50$12217h
boughtBTC Up@0.50$24217h
boughtBTC Up@0.99$45217h
boughtBTC Up@0.50$16217h
redeemedBTC Up@0.00expired217h
boughtBTC Up@0.50$38217h
boughtBTC Up@0.55$10217h
boughtBTC Up@0.46$5217h
boughtBTC Up@0.47$5217h

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