ForetellerForeteller
4G
4GaL…8yfxrank #532
crypto
score
47
Follow
-26%
ROI · 7d
-$2.0k
Profit · 7d
13
Markets
Performance · 7d14 settled
Open positions

No open positions.

Forecasting skill · all-time15 scored calls
Forecast score
35
Avg edge / share
+16.7¢
Edge, worst case
-3.1¢
Closing line value
+11.9¢
crypto 40 · 14 callssize-weighted edge -26.7¢sizing discipline -0.52

Edge is what a call paid versus the price paid for it; the worst-case figure is the lower 90% confidence bound, so it separates skill from luck. Closing line value compares entries to the market's final price. Size-weighted edge shows whether the edge survives their position sizes; sizing discipline is the correlation between stake and edge. Dust, hedged pairs, and settlement-adjacent entries are excluded. This dataset accumulates for life, not 7 days.

Breakdown
PnL by category
crypto
-$2.0k
Current streak
1 loss
in a row
Best call
BTC Up
+180% · +$534
Recent activity
redeemedBTC Up@0.00expired212h
boughtBTC Up@0.55$410212h
soldBTC Up@0.33+$406212h
boughtBTC Up@0.73$881212h
redeemedBTC Up@1.00+$886213h
boughtBTC Up@0.99$877213h
redeemedBTC Up@0.00expired213h
boughtBTC Up@0.01$2213h
soldBTC Up@0.50+$93217h
boughtBTC Up@0.99$184217h

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