ForetellerForeteller
4J
4JDK…A2iwrank #193
cryptosports
score
51
Follow
-5%
ROI · 7d
-$1
Profit · 7d
11
Markets
Performance · 7d11 settled
Open positions

No open positions.

Forecasting skill · all-time4 scored calls
Forecast score
0
Avg edge / share
-32.0¢
Edge, worst case
-86.6¢
Closing line value
-18.5¢
size-weighted edge -52.8¢

Edge is what a call paid versus the price paid for it; the worst-case figure is the lower 90% confidence bound, so it separates skill from luck. Closing line value compares entries to the market's final price. Size-weighted edge shows whether the edge survives their position sizes; sizing discipline is the correlation between stake and edge. Dust, hedged pairs, and settlement-adjacent entries are excluded. This dataset accumulates for life, not 7 days.

Breakdown
PnL by category
sports
+$1
crypto
-$2
Current streak
2 wins
in a row
Best call
BTC Up
+711% · +$3
Recent activity
soldBTC Up@0.99+$1207h
boughtBTC Up@0.50$0.73207h
redeemedBTC Up@0.00expired212h
boughtBTC Up@0.58$0.29212h
boughtBTC Up@0.50$0.60212h
redeemedBTC Up@0.00expired224h
boughtBTC Up@0.34$0.19224h
boughtBTC Up@0.37$0.46224h
soldFRA wins WC26@0.38+$10241h
redeemedBTC Up@1.00+$0.52282h

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