ForetellerForeteller
4J
4JQe…kp9h
crypto
score
46
Follow
-8%
ROI · 7d
-$23
Profit · 7d
3
Markets
Performance · 7d3 settled
Open positions

No open positions.

Forecasting skill · all-time1 scored calls
Forecast score
0
Avg edge / share
-73.0¢
Edge, worst case
-114.2¢
Closing line value
-50.6¢
size-weighted edge -73.0¢

Edge is what a call paid versus the price paid for it; the worst-case figure is the lower 90% confidence bound, so it separates skill from luck. Closing line value compares entries to the market's final price. Size-weighted edge shows whether the edge survives their position sizes; sizing discipline is the correlation between stake and edge. Dust, hedged pairs, and settlement-adjacent entries are excluded. This dataset accumulates for life, not 7 days.

Breakdown
PnL by category
crypto
-$23
Current streak
1 loss
in a row
Best call
BTC Up
+3% · +$8
Recent activity
soldBTC Up@0.34+$1201h
soldBTC Up@0.28+$5201h
soldBTC Up@0.30+$19201h
boughtBTC Up@0.55$47201h
soldBTC Up@0.99+$83201h
boughtBTC Up@0.99$83201h
soldBTC Up@0.50+$68201h
boughtBTC Up@0.50$68201h
soldBTC Up@0.65+$57201h
boughtBTC Up@0.55$47201h

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