ForetellerForeteller
4J
4Jz4…jVTTrank #42
cryptosports
score
54
Follow
-25%
ROI · 7d
-$575
Profit · 7d
45
Markets
Performance · 7d46 settled
Open positions

No open positions.

Forecasting skill · all-time14 scored calls
Forecast score
72
Avg edge / share
+26.1¢
Edge, worst case
+4.8¢
Closing line value
+6.2¢
crypto 81 · 8 callsother 0 · 5 callssize-weighted edge +34.1¢

Edge is what a call paid versus the price paid for it; the worst-case figure is the lower 90% confidence bound, so it separates skill from luck. Closing line value compares entries to the market's final price. Size-weighted edge shows whether the edge survives their position sizes; sizing discipline is the correlation between stake and edge. Dust, hedged pairs, and settlement-adjacent entries are excluded. This dataset accumulates for life, not 7 days.

Breakdown
PnL by category
sports
+$25
crypto
-$516
Current streak
1 loss
in a row
Best call
BTC Up
+9386% · +$83
Recent activity
redeemedBTC Up@0.00expired157h
boughtBTC Up@0.50$2157h
soldBTC Up@0.72+$2157h
boughtBTC Up@0.45$0.94157h
redeemedBTC Up@0.00expired157h
boughtBTC Up@0.39$73157h
redeemedBTC Up@0.00expired158h
boughtBTC Up@0.50$39158h
redeemedBTC Up@0.00expired158h
boughtBTC Up@0.97$75158h

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