ForetellerForeteller
4M
4MU8…DMdsrank #974
cryptoother
score
39
Follow
-45%
ROI · 7d
-$308
Profit · 7d
21
Markets
Performance · 7d22 settled
Open positions

No open positions.

Forecasting skill · all-time5 scored calls
Forecast score
0
Avg edge / share
-35.6¢
Edge, worst case
-52.9¢
Closing line value
-24.8¢
crypto 0 · 5 callssize-weighted edge -46.5¢

Edge is what a call paid versus the price paid for it; the worst-case figure is the lower 90% confidence bound, so it separates skill from luck. Closing line value compares entries to the market's final price. Size-weighted edge shows whether the edge survives their position sizes; sizing discipline is the correlation between stake and edge. Dust, hedged pairs, and settlement-adjacent entries are excluded. This dataset accumulates for life, not 7 days.

Breakdown
PnL by category
other
+$99
crypto
-$194
Current streak
1 win
in a row
Best call
+796% · +$213
Recent activity
sold@0.50+$240142h
redeemed@0.00expired142h
bought@0.06$27142h
redeemed@0.00expired143h
bought@0.34$12143h
bought@0.34$9143h
redeemed@0.00expired143h
redeemed@0.00expired143h
bought@0.01$8143h
bought@0.07$4143h

Powered by Fortel