ForetellerForeteller
4P
4PEY…LYRU
other
score
48
Follow
-47%
ROI · 7d
-$877
Profit · 7d
2
Markets
Performance · 7d2 settled
Open positions

No open positions.

Forecasting skill · all-time2 scored calls
Forecast score
0
Avg edge / share
-23.2¢
Edge, worst case
-41.9¢
Closing line value
-22.2¢
size-weighted edge -32.3¢

Edge is what a call paid versus the price paid for it; the worst-case figure is the lower 90% confidence bound, so it separates skill from luck. Closing line value compares entries to the market's final price. Size-weighted edge shows whether the edge survives their position sizes; sizing discipline is the correlation between stake and edge. Dust, hedged pairs, and settlement-adjacent entries are excluded. This dataset accumulates for life, not 7 days.

Breakdown
PnL by category
crypto
-$877
Current streak
1 loss
in a row
Best call
BTC Up
+1% · +$9
Recent activity
redeemedBTC Up@0.00expired170h
boughtBTC Up@0.35$886170h
redeemedBTC Up@0.00expired170h
boughtBTC Up@0.12$100170h
soldBTC Up@0.77+$986170h
boughtBTC Up@0.68$877170h

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